Divided and Ruled. Marginal versus Community Coalition.

Why is there no community coalition (Labour, LibDems, Greens) against Tory kleptocracy in the United Kingdom?

In power terms, well-planned cooperation would turn the current zero sum divided game into a win-win seat-gaining approach for ALL parties. As it stands, opposition is simply and intractably divided, doomed to Conservative minority rule.

The December 2019 general election was a paradigm of this failure. There are dozens more.

Labour Left calls for more strident socialism. Labour Centre calls for sympathy with neoliberal business. Truth is, working class Brits aren’t always kind people. Community has become divisive, mistrusted.

The recipe for Labour success is to find a way to include the socialism sufficiently sugared and forward-looking to capture both Left dynamism and Liberal Democrats inertia.

UNDIVIDED AND NOT RULED?

Figures based on 2017 aggregate predictions from www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/orderedseats.html
Balanced Pre-hustings Coalition: 86 CONSERVATIVE SEATS –> 49 Conservative to Labour + 37 Conservative to LibDem

 

CurrentConstituencyMPVotersTurnOutCONLABLIBFlipSwing
CONPendleAndrew Stephenson6496369.038.033.59.942%>38%+4% LABOUR
CONNorthampton SouthAndrew Lewer6099367.336.229.712.041%>36%+5% LABOUR
CONPudseyStuart Andrew7262274.337.330.815.145%>37%+8% LABOUR
CONNorthampton NorthMichael Ellis5818369.436.429.612.241%>36%+5% LABOUR
CONCalder ValleyCraig Whittaker7904573.436.429.214.843%>36%+7% LABOUR
CONBroxtoweAnna Soubry7401775.036.928.914.642%>36%+6% LABOUR
CONHendonMatthew Offord7632968.438.830.716.446%>38%+8% LABOUR
CONMiddlesbrough South(Simon Clarke7233665.838.129.611.840%>38%+2% LABOUR
CONBolton WestChris Green7279770.138.229.613.142%>38%+4% LABOUR
CONLoughboroughNicky Morgan7960768.037.228.615.243%>37%+6% LABOUR
CONPutneyJustine Greening6502672.134.525.726.251%>34%+17% LIBDEM
CONMansfieldBen Bradley7781164.537.228.39.737%=37%+0% LABOUR
CONMorecambe and LunesdDavid Morris6683868.337.628.613.141%>37%+4% LABOUR
CONMorley and OutwoodAndrea Jenkyns7649568.438.529.512.341%>38%+3% LABOUR
CONCorbyTom Pursglove8243972.838.228.612.040%>38%+2% LABOUR
CONFinchley and GoldersMike Freer7313871.637.427.721.248%>37%+11% LABOUR
CONCarlisleJohn Stevenson6229469.138.328.211.939%>38%+1% LABOUR
CONRossendale and DarweJake Berry7249569.238.928.712.540%>38%+2% LABOUR
CONCopelandTrudy Harrison6175169.538.928.612.240%>38%+2% LABOUR
CONBlackpool North and(Paul Maynard6396764.138.528.110.738%=38%+0% LABOUR
CONChipping BarnetTheresa Villiers7702072.037.627.220.347%>37%+10% LABOUR
CONPreseli PembrokeshirStephen Crabb5854072.136.125.313.238%>36%+2% LABOUR
CONAberconwyGuto Bebb4525171.035.424.514.538%>35%+3% LABOUR
CONShipleyPhilip Davies7313373.039.328.215.443%>39%+4% LABOUR
CONCities of London andMark Field6153362.835.924.725.749%>35%+14% LIBDEM
CONErewashMaggie Throup7299168.238.627.311.838%=38%+0% LABOUR
CONSouthampton ItchenRoyston Smith7171665.238.026.415.441%>38%+3% LABOUR
CONScarborough and WhitRobert Goodwill7359368.638.126.512.438%=38%+0% LABOUR
CONVale of GlamorganAlun Cairns7395872.636.925.214.539%>36%+3% LABOUR
CONHarrow EastBob Blackman7175770.941.129.314.743%>41%+2% LABOUR
CONDerbyshire North EasLee Rowley7209769.938.826.912.638%=38%+0% LABOUR
CONNorwich NorthChloe Smith6692468.638.426.315.841%>38%+3% LABOUR
CONSouthportDamien Moore6940069.131.719.231.950%>31%+19% LIBDEM
CONMilton Keynes SouthIain Stewart9249469.739.026.216.242%>39%+3% LABOUR
CONHastings and RyeAmber Rudd7829869.939.026.116.242%>39%+3% LABOUR
CONWatfordRichard Harrington8650767.837.624.621.645%>37%+8% LABOUR
CONTelfordLucy Allan6816465.639.726.613.339%=39%+0% LABOUR
CONMilton Keynes NorthMark Lancaster8927271.538.825.717.642%>38%+4% LABOUR
CONAltrincham and Sale(Graham Brady7322072.138.625.420.345%>38%+7% LABOUR
CONChingford and WoodfoIain Duncan Smith6607871.140.3 26.417.243%>40%+3% LABOUR
CONCrawleyHenry Smith7342468.541.227.214.641%=41%+0% LABOUR
CONReading WestAlok Sharma7451869.539.625.218.443%>39%+4% LABOUR
CONWorcesterRobin Walker7281570.639.425.016.541%>39%+2% LABOUR
CONRushcliffeKenneth Clarke7474078.039.424.317.941%>39%+2% LABOUR
CONSwindon SouthRobert Buckland7239170.839.724.617.341%>39%+2% LABOUR
CONYork OuterJulian Sturdy7585675.738.323.021.944%>38%+6% LABOUR
CONStevenageStephen McPartland7076569.740.624.716.140%=40%+0% LABOUR
CONWimbledonStephen Hammond6677177.236.520.530.250%>36%+14% LIBDEM
CONCamborne and RedruthGeorge Eustice6746271.839.022.619.541%>39%+2% LABOUR
CONMacclesfieldDavid Rutley7522872.240.023.317.740%=40%+0% LABOUR
CONColchesterWill Quince7999666.935.318.629.347%>35%+12% LIBDEM
CONWycombeSteve Baker7708969.440.423.320.343%>40%+3% LABOUR
CONFilton and Bradley SJack Lopresti7256969.940.022.320.242%>40%+2% LABOUR
CONTruro and FalmouthSarah Newton7469175.836.618.428.046%>36%+10% LIBDEM
CONChelsea and FulhamGreg Hands6372866.139.921.025.746%>39%+7% LIBDEM
CONShrewsbury and AtchaDaniel Kawczynski7904373.640.7 20.920.340%=40%+0% LABOUR
CONHarboroughNeil O'Brien7864773.239.920.021.241%>39%+2% LIBDEM
CONCheadleMary Robinson7278075.033.712.441.153%>33%+20% LIBDEM
CONHazel GroveWilliam Wragg6268470.434.313.036.349%>34%+15% LIBDEM
CONSt AlbansAnne Main7281178.334.112.641.353%>34%+19% LIBDEM
CONBerwick-upon-TweedAnne-Marie Trevelyan5877471.838.7 14.928.042%>38%+4% LIBDEM
CONHitchin and HarpendeBim Afolami7591677.441.317.626.043%>41%+2% LIBDEM
CONRichmond ParkZac Goldsmith8002579.131.56.852.658%>31%+27% LIBDEM
CONBreCONand RadnorshiChris Davies5601073.835.610.634.344%>35%+9% LIBDEM
CONCambridgeshire SouthHeidi Allen8525776.239.214.232.546%>39%+7% LIBDEM
CONSt IvesDerek Thomas6746275.933.78.044.252%>33%+19% LIBDEM
CONCheltenhamAlex Chalk7887572.332.76.847.853%>32%+21% LIBDEM
CONCambridgeshire SouthLucy Frazer8612173.240.314.431.445%>40%+5% LIBDEM
CONSt Austell and NewquSteve Double7861869.040.114.028.442%>40%+2% LIBDEM
CONHarrogate and KnaresAndrew Jones7726573.439.713.131.244%>39%+5% LIBDEM
CONMontgomeryshireGlyn Davies5075568.737.410.529.539%>37%+2% LIBDEM
CONSutton and CheamPaul Scully7040473.838.911.535.446%>38%+8% LIBDEM
CONEastleighMims Davies8121370.538.710.933.843%>38%+5% LIBDEM
CONDevon NorthPeter Heaton-Jones7578473.535.87.740.147%>35%+12% LIBDEM
CONWokingJonathan Lord7617072.542.113.729.342%=42%+0% LIBDEM
CONLewesMaria Caulfield7094776.435.36.845.651%>35%+16% LIBDEM
CONGuildfordAnne Milton7545473.640.010.935.345%>40%+5% LIBDEM
CONWinchesterSteve Brine7249778.836.86.944.250%>36%+14% LIBDEM
CONWellsJames Heappey8244973.837.37.441.248%>37%+11% LIBDEM
CONChippenhamMichelle Donelan7643274.840.210.235.545%>40%+5% LIBDEM
CONTorbayKevin Foster7593667.440.410.131.241%>40%+1% LIBDEM
CONTaunton DeaneRebecca Pow8546673.839.68.935.243%>39%+4% LIBDEM
CONCornwall NorthScott Mann6885074.038.47.538.645%>38%+7% LIBDEM
CONRomsey and SouthamptCaroline Nokes6718674.741.910.832.842%>41%+1% LIBDEM
CONThornbury and YateLuke Hall6792774.639.07.340.047%>39%+8% LIBDEM
CONYeovilMarcus Fysh8291171.640.07.835.342%>40%+2% LIBDEM